Will Bitcoin Fever Affect San Rafael Homeowners?

High Binance: San Rafael Real Estate and Bitcoin Fever

“Bitcoin Fever Hits US Real Estate Market” screamed last week’s headline—but like most of the other news stories about bitcoin, the details were less than convincing. Certainly, San Rafael real estate has yet to be diagnosed with a serious case of bitcoin fever.

Yet, if you are a local homeowner who has begun to wonder if one day you might see “bitcoin accepted” messages in San Rafael listings, you may have been tempted to check into what the hubbub is all about. Is bitcoin some get-rich-quick Ponzi scheme cloaked in technological mumbo-jumbo? Or is it destined to be the dominant exchange medium for all future electronic transactions?

One problem is that the bits and pieces of information that keep dribbling out through the media are often contradictory. If a single bitcoin is worth $11,000 (or $18,000, depending on the wildly fluctuating market), how could it possibly be used for buying a six-pack of Coke? Typical is the guidance offered by the CEO of the U.S.’s largest bank, JPMorgan Chase:

Jamie Dimon: “If you’re stupid enough to buy bitcoin, you’ll pay the price one day.”

Jamie Dimon: (a little later): “I’m not going to talk about bitcoin anymore.”

Jamie Dimon: (a little later): “I regret calling bitcoin a fraud.”

My guess is that most of our San Rafael neighbors don’t have much time to delve into the nuts and bolts of whether various cryptocurrencies may come to play a role in San Rafael real estate transactions.

Still, you can’t be too careful when it comes to future 21st-century reality. If self-driving cars are certain to arrive sooner rather than later (they are), who knows how soon digital currency will be the norm? With that in mind, here is a quick sketch of three basic bitcoin features:

1) Its power is based on “the blockchain.” The details of a bitcoin purchase are transmitted out onto the network, where it is added to a list of the latest transactions in a “block.” If the block is found to be legitimate by enough participating auditors (“miners”), the block is added to the public ledger (“the blockchain”). The blockchain contains the entire verified ledger—from the first transaction to the latest. No one can “cook the books” or counterfeit bitcoins because every transaction is set in stone forever. It’s like being able to put your trust in a group of bookkeepers who can never cheat.

2) Every block must adhere to the rules—the bitcoin computer protocols—precisely. If anything differs by so much as a gnat’s eyelash, that block will be rejected by the other miners and discarded. This prevents scams.

3) The rules include a limit to the total number of bitcoins that will ever be created (21 million), so each one should gain value if more and more people around the world accept bitcoin as payment.

Most transactions will be made in tiny fractions of a bitcoin (this morning, $100 equaled nine-thousandths of a bitcoin). Since no central authority can print up more bitcoins when it needs extra cash, unlike traditional currencies, bitcoin is inflation-proof.

Of course, these are simplifications—and presented without possible drawbacks—but they do point to some of bitcoin’s appeal. Whether it will be widely adopted for everyday trade is completely unknown.

At least for the moment, most San Rafael listings will continue to do nicely without a “bitcoin accepted” notice.

For more of the latest in the San Rafael real estate market, give me a call!